Is A Boris Johnson Return On The Cards For The Conservatives?

5 min read Post on May 03, 2025

Is A Boris Johnson Return On The Cards For The Conservatives?

Johnson's Strengths: Why a Return is Considered Possible

Several factors suggest a Boris Johnson return to power isn't entirely out of the question. His enduring appeal to a segment of the Conservative base, coupled with the challenges faced by the current leadership, creates an opening for a potential comeback.

Residual Popularity and Support within the Party

Despite the controversies surrounding his premiership, a significant portion of Conservative voters still hold positive views towards Johnson. This residual support forms a crucial foundation for any potential return.

Strong electoral performance in 2019: Johnson led the Conservatives to a landslide victory in the 2019 general election, a feat that still resonates with many party members.
Charismatic leadership style: His populist appeal and unconventional style continue to attract a dedicated following.
Proven ability to connect with a broad range of voters: While divisive, his ability to reach beyond traditional Conservative voters was undeniable.
Existing network of loyal MPs: A network of supportive MPs within the party could provide a crucial platform for a future leadership bid.

Weaknesses of Current Conservative Leadership

The current Conservative leadership, under Rishi Sunak, faces significant headwinds. This creates an opportunity for a figure like Johnson, who could potentially offer a different approach.

Low approval ratings for Rishi Sunak: The current Prime Minister's approval ratings lag, creating space for a challenger.
Internal party divisions: The Conservative party remains fractured, with ongoing disagreements on policy and leadership.
Struggles with key policy areas such as the economy: Economic challenges provide fertile ground for criticism of the current government.
Lack of a compelling narrative for the future: The party struggles to articulate a clear vision for the country, opening the door for alternative narratives.

Potential for a "Johnsonian" Resurgence in Policy

Some Conservative voters may yearn for a return to the policies or style of governance associated with Johnson's premiership, creating a potential demand for a Johnson-led return to power.

Focus on "levelling up": Johnson's emphasis on regional investment remains popular with many voters.
Stronger stance on Brexit: A more uncompromising approach to Brexit might resonate with a segment of the Conservative electorate.
A more populist approach: Johnson's populist appeal could be seen as a way to reconnect with voters feeling alienated by the current government.
Differing economic policies: A return to Johnson's economic policies could appeal to voters dissatisfied with the current approach.

Obstacles to a Johnson Comeback: Why a Return Might Not Happen

Despite the potential advantages, several significant obstacles stand in the way of a Boris Johnson return. These challenges could prove insurmountable.

Lingering Scandals and Investigations

The various scandals that plagued Johnson's time as Prime Minister represent a major hurdle to his political rehabilitation.

Partygate: The numerous breaches of lockdown regulations continue to damage his reputation.
Jennifer Arcuri affair: The investigation into his relationship with businesswoman Jennifer Arcuri casts a long shadow.
Ongoing investigations: Potential future investigations could further complicate his prospects.
Damage to Conservative reputation: The scandals associated with Johnson have damaged the Conservative party's reputation.

Resistance from Within the Conservative Party

Significant opposition within the Conservative party itself could prevent a Johnson return. Many MPs remain wary of his leadership style and past controversies.

Distrust among senior MPs: Many senior Conservatives distrust Johnson and his methods.
Concerns about electability: Some believe Johnson's presence would harm the party's chances in a general election.
Fear of further reputational damage: Many MPs fear further damaging scandals linked to Johnson.
Potential for party splits: A Johnson return could further fracture the already divided party.

The Public's Perception of Johnson

Public opinion remains deeply divided on Johnson. A significant shift in public perception would be necessary for a successful comeback.

Negative press coverage: The media's portrayal of Johnson continues to be overwhelmingly negative.
Low approval ratings in public opinion polls: Polls consistently show low approval ratings for Johnson.
Public fatigue with political scandals: The public may be weary of further political scandals.
Shifting public priorities: The public's priorities have shifted since the 2019 election, potentially reducing Johnson's appeal.

The Impact of a Boris Johnson Return on the Conservative Party

A Boris Johnson return would have profound implications for the Conservative Party, potentially leading to significant changes in policy, messaging, and internal dynamics.

Potential for Increased Support or Division

A Johnson comeback could either revitalize the party's base or lead to further internal fracturing and potential splits.

Boost in party membership: His return might temporarily attract new members.
Increased voter turnout among specific demographics: He may boost turnout amongst specific demographic groups.
Potential for further resignations: His return could trigger further resignations of MPs.
Impact on future general election prospects: The impact on the next general election would be difficult to predict, ranging from a potential boost to a significant drop in support depending on the reaction of the electorate.

Implications for Conservative Policy and Messaging

Johnson's return would likely lead to a significant shift in the party's policy priorities and communication style.

Changes to economic policies: A potential return to pre-Sunak economic policies is possible.
Shift in foreign policy approach: Foreign policy stances might be altered.
Changes in communication strategy: A more populist and less cautious communication strategy is likely.
Potential impact on key legislation: Legislative priorities might shift depending on Johnson's vision.

Conclusion

The question of a Boris Johnson return to Conservative leadership remains highly complex and uncertain. While his residual popularity and the weaknesses of the current leadership present a pathway for a comeback, significant obstacles, including lingering scandals and resistance within the party, remain. The potential impact on the Conservative party would be profound, potentially leading to a resurgence in support or further division. Ultimately, the possibility of a Boris Johnson return hinges on a complex interplay of factors, making it a compelling and constantly evolving political narrative. Only time will tell whether a Boris Johnson return is truly on the cards for the Conservatives. Stay informed and follow the latest developments on the Boris Johnson political future.